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Archive for February, 2009

Just last week, I was giving a speech in Pasadena, CA, to the local chapter of the California Association of Mortgage Brokers.  As I interacted with the attendees, I noticed that many people seemed to be literally depressed about the current market conditions.  Foreclosures, short sales, plummeting home values, and distressed home owners take their [...]

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Many thanks to those of you who have commented on my two previous posts! The main concern that some of you have expressed is that I am calculating the US debt ratio using our total national economic output (GDP) as opposed to looking at the actual tax dollars received by the government. This is quite normal when discussing the economics and debt ratios of sovereign governments like the United States. Here’s why:

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We just established that the US has a debt ratio of approx. 48% – 84% (48% if you are optimistic, and 84% if you think home values in the United States are going to $0). How does this 48% – 84% debt ratio compare with other countries in the world?

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As part of the latest stimulus package, the Congress is set to authorize an expansion of the total US debt burden to a whopping $12.14 TRILLION! This staggering number includes all the provisions of the latest $789.5 billion economic stimulus plan, as well as other potential government liabilities that were part of last year’s $700 billion bailout package and the conservatorship of government sponsored mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. So, the multi-trillion dollar question is: How much debt is too much?

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